2008-10-21

China strategy

China is an interesting problem for the United States. China is a growing power. Their resources, population, and location will make them a global power whether the US likes it or not.

The current National Security Strategy welcomes the rise of a peaceful China that is a responsible stakeholder with transparent intentions. It discusses building partnerships with China, but also discusses deterring China.

How do we build partnerships while having an adversarial relationship through deterrence?

I do think we have to build partnerships with China. How do we get them to have a vested interest in global stability. Global instability is just as bad for their economy as it is for ours, yet they contribute almost nothing to UN efforts. Imagine how many troops China could send to Iraq, Kosovo, Afghanistan, or the numerous conflicts in Africa.

As far as a military strategy toward China I think the only solution is a naval solution. We can never compete in a land war with China without resorting to nuclear weapons. Their numbers would simply overwhelm us. With a strong navy we can limit their global and regional influence and if needed cripple their economy with a blockade. Militarily, patience would have to be the key.

Bottom line: China needs to be a partner but keep a strong navy just in case.

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